The
process of development has been preached by numerous authorities and
politicians since time immemorial. However, the development process of rural
areas was relatively slower than that of the urban areas. This was a result of
the fact that, development practitioners and governments have been prioritising
the urban areas at the expense of rural areas. Of recent, statesmen and
organisations started introducing policies and strategies to solve the plight
of the non-metropolitan dwellers. However, rural poverty is still evident. This
is because, some if not all of these policies are formulated, implemented and
analysed without necessarily taking into consideration some of the factors
which affect the formulation, implementation and analysis of good policies.
These factors include the available technology, the power relations and
participation of different stakeholders involved in policy process and a plethora
of other social economic and political factors which affect good policy
analysis, formulation and implementation. Without understanding these factors,
rural policies are formulated and implemented in a way which hardly solve or at
least alleviate rural poverty. This paper shall explore how these factors
affect the assumption analysis and its consequences and influences to rural
poverty reduction at large. Examples of the policies implemented in both the
Third and the First World shall be used to substantiate the raised arguments.
A
policy is a declaration that defines the intention of a community, organisation
or government goals and priorities. Policies outline the roles, rules and
procedures. They create frameworks within which administration and staff can
perform their assigned duties. (Anderson et al, 1984). Policy process is a
cyclical and iterative procedure which includes problem identification, problem
analysis, policy making, budgeting and policy evaluation (Sabatier, 1999). With
this rural policy process means all the iterative policy making, analysis and
adoption put in place to solve the problems of rural poor people. Burke (2003) defines
assumption analysis as a project management exercise that requires planners to
identify all assumptions being made in project planning management stage as a
means of risk reduction. Each assumption is then analysed to determine its
accuracy and to identify all potential project risks if the assumption is later
found to be inaccurate. This shows that for, accurate and project success to be
achieved there is need for rural policies to be well analysed at each and every
stage, that is from problem identification, problem analysis, strategy
selection implementation, monitoring and evaluation.
The
rural policy process is ideally occupied by diverse groups of actors and stakeholders.
Presence or absence of these actors in the analysis, implementation, evaluation
and formulation of policies has influence towards the success of a policy
process. According to Sabatier (1999) the rural policy process has to involve a
wide range of actors, individuals, groups and networks. These groups and
individuals may complement one another in each and every stage of the policy
process. In the rural policy, stakeholders including the government agencies,
Civic Society Organisations (CSOs), Non Governmental Organisations (NGOs) and
the rural people contribute their knowledge towards the elimination of poverty
in rural areas. Government agencies can contribute its information through the
stored data in different ministries, NGOs contribute the knowledge and
experience they get when they come into direct contact with the rural poor
people. The rural, poor people also express their lived experiences. This
collaborative action of stakeholders ensures effective sharing of information
and data thereby accurate understanding and analysis of rural development
problems. According to Munzara and Gwaze (2006) a workshop organised by
community Technology Development Trust (Zimbabwe) and Centre for Environmental
Policy and Advocacy (Malawi) was attended by participants from countries like
Zambia, Malawi, Mozambique and Zimbabwe. These stakeholders who included
government officials and representatives from NGOs successfully deliberated on
trade issues because of their diverse experiences. This is because all these
stakeholders were targeting formulation of the rural policy to alleviate rural
poverty. These actors if they mutually work in policy problem identification
and analysis for instance complement each other and thereby identify the
correct problem which rural people are grappling with.
Participation
and power dynamics among the rural stakeholders also impact on the assumption
analysis of the rural policy process. In most cases, there is a tendency of
exclusion of other relevant stakeholders during the rural policy process. In
this case there, the more powerful stakeholders may decide to exclude less
powerful ones when formulating, analysing and implementing policies. According
to Chambers (1983) when identifying the problems affecting rural areas,
governments usually ignore and overlook essential, complex and diverse
realities of the rural poor people. With this, the government and its agencies
take the centre stage in identification, analysis and evaluation of rural
development policy problems. This in most cases lead to the identification of
wrong problems for right people. This is because, social phenomena are very
complex and multifaceted which means that, those in the problem (rural people)
should be at the centre stage in the identification and analysis of their
problems. The inclusion of the rural poor people in contrast means that, there
will be a better understanding of the problems, since they are the ones
experiencing rural poverty. Thus, identified courses of actions will suit the
problem being tackled.
According
to Narayan (2000) within the rural people themselves, there are asymmetrical
relationships which may affect in problem identification and analysis of their
social problems. According to the study he carried out in Bangladesh, the
poorest people in rural areas had little contribution in government initiated
referenda, elections and opinion polls. This will then mean that, the rural
policies formulated will be set to solve the plight of the well up rural people
at the expense of the real poor people. Since the purpose of rural policies is
to alleviate poverty in rural areas, if the formulated policies are not
relevant in solving the plight of the poorest, we can say they are not relevant
to rural areas. Power dynamics within the rural poor people also tend to affect
the evaluation of the rural policies. If the only elite rural people
participate during policy evaluation, it will mean that professional evaluators
may be deceived to believe that the implemented project and programs were very
successful while in reality the poor people will continue to suffer. With this
in the future poor projects which may be full of dangers to the livelihoods of
the poorest rural people will continue to be implemented. This means that, for
rural policies to be successful there is need for professional policy makers to
understand the power dynamics among different groups of the rural people. Then
policy makers will then try to foster equal participation of the poorest groups
in the rural areas.
Technologies
also affect the effectiveness of assumption analysis in the rural policy
process. Technological advancement influences the nature and progress of
stakeholder interactions and sharing of information between actors. In the
present day policy formulation, analysis and implementation can be effectively
aided by the use of more technologically advanced methods like telephone or
computer conferencing. (Harande, 2009) this ensures timely formulation and
analysis of policy alternatives before the nature of the problem changes or is
altered by the environment. Lack of such
technology in the policy process in contrast delays or in some cases lead to
poor alternative analysis and alternative selection. This is because; in
practise rural issues are very fluid and easily changed by the environmental
factors. According to Brugha et al (2002) findings brought forward by
researchers during the evaluation and analysis of the health policy to fight
AIDS, Tuberculosis and Malaria in the United States of America were being
superseded by events. This is because during that period, information was
manually collected through arranged meetings by the government and other data
collection methods like surveying. In the past and in present day
technologically backward societies, decisions were and are not timely because
there is need for involvement in weeks of data gathering and bureaucratic
decision making. With this, alternative policy strategies will be introduced to
tackle the already changed problems. Thus, technological advancement helps in
the effective selection, analysis and implementation of good policies to solve
the right problem.
Global
pressure can also contribute in the analysis, implementation and formulation of
policy strategies. According to Hajer and Wagenaar(2003) there are new sources
of politics where concrete changes of the practices of policy making and
politics are influenced by global decisions as well as domestic actions. In this case, experience from overseas rural
areas can be applied in solving local rural development problems. Rural
problems are identified at international level and the problem shared as a
global concern. Individual countries will then shape their rural policies to
fit the interests of the global village. Multilateral and bilateral
organisations engage in researches in the Third World rural areas and then
influence rural policies in the countries with rural policies. Rural policies
in the Third World countries are a reaction to the internationally set
standards through the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs). According to
Hanyani-Mlambo (2002) in Zimbabwe for instance the study on the pluralistic
Agricultural extension paid allegiance to the Food and Agricultural
Organisation (FAO) which is an international body formulated to solve the
problem of poverty and starvation. That research was funded by the governments
of Finland and Norway. This means that in some cases problem analysis and
identification in this present day world is influenced by global pressure. All
these activities are targeted at solving the rural poverty in the Third World
rural areas. This then means that the choice and prioritisation of policy
issues can also be directed by global international pressure.
Global
international pressure can also create negative implications to the local rural
policy processes. This is because in some cases, the formulation, adoption and
analysis of policies can be just done as a need to satisfy the bilateral and
multilateral organisations. This is mainly done because of the call for papers
done by most donor organisations and countries. Some bilateral and multilateral
organisations like SIDA (Swedish International Development Agency, and the
USAID can call for governments and NGOs to submit proposals which suits their
set goals (Sabatier, 1999). These policies may however be alien to the local
environment and culture. This means that in this case governments and NGOs can
engage in risky and less relevant policies without necessarily making through
analysis of the policy environment but occupied by the need to get
international funding. Mkandawire (1999) cited NGOs in Malawi which tried to
implement piggery projects in a bid to solve the problem of food shortages.
These projects were however turned down by the rural people since they were not
in tandem with the local religion. It is also interesting to note that globally
pressurised rural policies are flawed in that authorities in most cases falsify
evaluations in order to get more funding. With this it is found that,
international pressure can disturb local assumption analysis in rural policies
and lead to the implementation of risky policies.
Harande
(2005) points that, for rural policy to be successful and relevant there is
need for reliable and accurate supply of information to the rural poor people.
Reliable and accurate information makes the rural poor people aware of their
contingencies and therefore contribute positively in the formulation, adoption
and the setting of goals in the policy process. Uninformed and ignorant rural
people also find it very difficult to follow the guidelines in implementing the
projects and programs supporting a certain given policy. The ideal rural policy
should include the rural people in the formulation, analysis, choosing the best
alternative courses of action and policy evaluation, without reliable and
accurate information concerning the national policies, the rural poor will
hardly participate in the policy implementation exercise. According to Diso (2005)
in Nigeria, the state information system is unreliable to an extent that, even
serious information like disseminating agricultural research results is often
subtly reduced to persuasive to persuasive propaganda to make people appreciate
their state as benevolent enough to make them prospering. With this, people
will hardly participate in the decision making and adoption of suitable and
best alternative courses of action in the rural policy processes. Thus for
rural policies to be successful, there is need for dissemination of reliable
policy information in rural areas.
Linked
to that, is the extent of literacy among the recipients of policy packages. In
this case the rural poor people who happens to be the immediate beneficiaries
of development policies. Obasanjo and Mabogunje (1991) indicate that for the rural
people to exercise their effective responsibility for development they must be
literate and have necessary resources and adequate revenue allocation. This is
because, for rural people to be effective in the analysis of assumptions on
different stages of the policy cycle they must be in a position to explicitly
qualify and quantify their experiences. During the goal setting exercise in a
literate population, quantification of the likely outcomes will be a bit easier
as compared to carrying out the exercise in an illiterate rural community. If cost
benefit-analysis is being carried where necessary comparing and contrasting two
or more courses of actions will be a bit more effective in a literate society
than an illiterate one. When it comes to monitoring and evaluation of the
policy strategies literate rural communities are likely to provide reliable and
accurate data. This minimises risk of carrying out unprofitable courses of
action during the policy process. In illiterate communities in contrast there
is a high tendency of falsifying data because of ignorance. With this future
projects to support the policy will be more likely to be more flawed in
illiterate communities as compared to literate ones.
The
health of rural policy process is also directly or indirectly affected by the
availability of financial resources. According to Sullivan (1990) economics is
one of the variables capturing the dynamics shaping the future of rural
communities and interdependencies among those communities. Financial resources
allow the government, private sector civic society organisations and
professional planners to collect as much data as possible. That data will then
be used to analyse the developmental problems affecting rural poor people.
Stakeholder analysis and general collection of data can only be done effectively
if there are reliable financial resources. This is because for rural
information to be collected properly there is need for reliable supply of
financial resources to cater for long distance travelling expenses into the
poor rural areas. Chambers (1983) noted that, during the policy evaluation
exercise in India, professionals engage in what he called tarmac bias. This is
when policy or project evaluation is carried out in places near the main road
only. In this case they only opt for near road accessible areas at the expense
of the most remote parts of the countryside. Moreover problem analysis is done
with the people nearer to the main road and better off people who can easily
access places where activities like surveys, policy round tables, and
consultation by government agencies are carried. With this, formulated policies
hardly meet the needs and expectations of the real rural poor people. This is
because without reliable financial resources the real poor rural people hardly
contribute in the policy process.
Dukeshire
and Thurlow (2002) noted that effective policy is facilitated by expensive
methods of data gathering and awareness methods which include legislative
hearings, policy round table, campaigns, consultations and engagement of groups
and citizens by the government. All these
necessitate effective selection of courses of action. More so, with reliable
financial sources, governments, planners and rural dwellers can be comfortable
in choosing expensive courses of action and policies. Unlike policies which are
supported by reliable sources of financial institutions, financially stable
societies in contrast plan and implement programs and projects which suit their
shrinking budgets. In most cases however, relevant courses of action requires
more financial resources. Thus, policies formulated in financially stable
environments are likely to be reliable and relevant in solving rural poverty.
In
conclusion, rural poverty is a multifaceted phenomenon which cannot be solved
by the voices of government officials and their private organisations
counterparts. Rural poverty can only be solved when the development
practitioners make thorough analysis of the resources available for the
formulation, analysis and implementation of the rural policies. Need is there
for professionals to make sure that they mutually cooperate with the rural
people during executing each and every stage of the policy process. In doing so
there is also need for the professionals to study the power dynamics within the
rural people themselves so as to foster equal participation of them in the
policy process. Without taking that into consideration, the problem of unequal
development between the rural and metropolitan areas will continue, the gap
between the rural poor and the rural elites will continue. There is need for
the development of policies which meet the interests of the real poorest rural
people.
Reference
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